Letterhead and timestamp
000 FXUS64 KSHV 061731 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1231 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026...New AVIATION...KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026
- Increased rain chances with thunderstorms are expected this weekend. Those with outdoor activities scheduled should plan accordingly. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors! - Periods of locally heavy rainfall through the weekend will bring a localized flooding threat, particularly along and northwest of the Interstate 49 corridor. Remember, turn around, don't drown!
- Peak afternoon heat index values by the middle of next week should be near or above 100 degrees. Summertime heat safety plans should be reviewed and readied.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026
A broad upper-level low across west Texas and a broad upper-level ridge across the northern Gulf of America to maintain a southwest flow pattern across the ArkLaTex through the weekend. A surface boundary along with a slug of increased moisture, driving dewpoint values into the mid 70s, to surge north across the region on Saturday triggering widespread convection during the time of peak heating. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible with some storms. Additionally, a disturbance within the upper-flow translating east across east and northeast Texas could generate convection ahead of the gulf sourced boundary allowing for the potential for a few strong storms along and north of I-20 across mainly north Louisiana into south Arkansas during the evening hours.
Southwest flow to persist into Sunday maintaining an unsettled weather pattern across the ArkLaTex with diurnally driven convection again expected.
By Sunday night, however, upper-level ridging in the eastern Gulf to build west, eventually becoming firmly established across the southern CONUS through the remainder of the forecast period ending Friday. Subsidence associated with the ridge will lead to drier conditions with high temperatures soaring into the mid 90s from mid to late week. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
For the 06/18Z TAFs, the morning's low cloud decks have recovered and will be filled in by convective Cu fields in the upper MVFR to lower VFR height range. In addition to an organized cluster of a line of showers advancing east across Texas, scattered convection is beginning to fill in eastward of the line. These scattered showers and storms mat result in brief VIS impacts to terminals as well as occasional wind gusts. After convection diminishes into the evening, CIGs are expected to crater overnight, dropping to IFR levels by daybreak tomorrow, with patchy VSBY reductions possible. Southeast winds will continue throughout, becoming light overnight and picking up in speed into the day tomorrow.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026
Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
| Temperatures | Chance of Precipitation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Location | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day |
| SHV | 74 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 76 ℉ | 92 ℉ | 50% | 60% | 10% | 10% |
| MLU | 74 ℉ | 89 ℉ | 76 ℉ | 92 ℉ | 20% | 60% | 10% | 20% |
| DEQ | 70 ℉ | 84 ℉ | 72 ℉ | 90 ℉ | 70% | 70% | 40% | 10% |
| TXK | 73 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 74 ℉ | 93 ℉ | 50% | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| ELD | 72 ℉ | 86 ℉ | 73 ℉ | 91 ℉ | 60% | 60% | 10% | 20% |
| TYR | 73 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 75 ℉ | 92 ℉ | 30% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
| GGG | 73 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 75 ℉ | 92 ℉ | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| LFK | 73 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 75 ℉ | 92 ℉ | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
SHV WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
DISCUSSION...05 AVIATION...26