Area Forecast Discussion

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1205 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- Rain will continue to come to an end to the southwest this morning.

- Some patchy fog will be possible for areas between I-20 and I-30 this morning .

- Dry and pleasant conditions through Monday night, followed by a warming trend and some thunderstorm chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1205 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Radar imagery early this morning is just showing a few lingering showers across our far southern zones that should clear out of the area in the next few hours. Meanwhile, surface observations are showing some lower visibility across southwest Arkansas, northeast Texas and far northern Louisiana. I have added some patchy fog in these areas to account for this. Morning temperatures will range from the upper 30s across our far northern zones, lower 50s across our far southern zones, and then the 40s for points in between. Despite clearing skies, temperatures will struggle to climb much, with afternoon highs ranging from the the lower to mid 70s across the region, leading to what should be a beautiful day. Temperatures Monday morning will range from the mid to upper 40s across the region before reaching afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Rain chances will return to the area on Tuesday, mainly across our western zones. This will greatly limit temperatures, keeping them in the lower 70s across our east Texas counties and then the mid to upper 70s across our eastern zones. Rain chances will then remain in place for portions of the region through the rest of the week and into next weekend, where some additional widespread rain could be possible. We will see high temperatures reach back into the 80s for portions of the area on Wednesday, with more widespread readings in the 80s for Thursday and Friday. While there will be some potential for strong to severe storms at times next week, there remains enough uncertainty in the models to say we are not expecting it, but will monitor it for any changes, because after all , it is spring across the ArkLaTex. /33/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 639 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, Patchy dense fog and VLIFR cigs at KGGG/KELD with wet ground and light wind. Visibility has been bouncing a few sites under the thinning mid and high clouds. Winds will be N/NE winds 5-10KTs and we'll slack and veer late day and especially after sunset. Nice Spring weather will kick off the new work week, with some additional showers during mid & late week. Prevailing winds will keep southeasterly. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1205 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.