Area Forecast Discussion

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Wilmington, NC (ILM)

Letterhead and timestamp

000 FXUS62 KCHS 061815 AFDCHS Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 215 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

WHAT HAS CHANGED

All sections were updated.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Dry conditions will persist through the weekend with rain chances increasing early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry conditions will persist through the weekend with rain chances increasing early next week.

Dry weather is expected through Monday as deep high pressure and subsidence dominates the Southeast. Rain chances will return Tuesday due to an uptick in moisture across the region ahead of an approaching weak cold front. Guidance continues to suggest this feature to nearly dissipate prior to reaching the South Santee River; thus we do not expect much coverage, isolated at best. Thereafter, isolated to scattered afternoon and evening showers/thunderstorms could develop each day through the rest of the week, especially along the sea breeze. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

18Z TAF Discussion: VFR conditions will prevail at KCHS/KJZI/KSAV through 18Z Sunday.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Brief flight restrictions possible with afternoon showers/thunderstorms beginning mid week.

MARINE

Today and Tonight: South/southwest winds will prevail along the western periphery of Atlantic high pressure. Seas will range between 2-3 ft.

Sunday through Thursday: Conditions will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through the period. High pressure dominating the local waters through the period will keep winds generally out the south, with a typical summertime surge in gusts along the coast with the afternoon sea breeze.

CHS WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

GA...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.

BRS