Letterhead and timestamp
000 FXUS64 KCRP 191828 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 128 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 127 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
- Well below normal temperatures through Monday
- Showers and a few thunderstorms through Tuesday (through Wednesday AM in the Victoria Crossroads)
- Minor Coastal Flooding possible into early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 127 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
Light scattered to widespread showers continue from the overnight hours though the southern Brush Country right now is in a pocket of drier conditions. CAM guidance shows shower activity remaining scattered through the evening with an additional round of more widespread shower/thunderstorm activity tonight due the shortwave energy aloft moving through. By sunrise Monday, this batch of moderate rainfall will move into the northern coastal plains, extending northwestward into the northern Brush Country. Latest guidance continues to keep Tuesday's rain chances above 60% for most locations E of I-37 as a shortwave trough moves through Texas bringing higher rainfall amounts to this area. All in all, an additional inch of rainfall can be expected for most locations, with 1-2 inches in locations where thunderstorms can more efficiently wring out the soupy air (PWATs ranging from 1.5-1.75" forecast through midweek).
Record low max temperatures are in play for all sites. CRP with a low chance of breaking 65, Victoria a bit higher potential with a current low max record of 68, and Laredo with a current low max record of 70 (early afternoon temperatures sit in the low 50s)!
Gradually warming temperatures are expected from Tuesday through the end of the week, likely back above normal by Friday. More zonal mid- level flow sets up and we will see a drier couple of days to finish out the week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 127 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
A mix of MFVR/IFR conditions are present due to reduced CIGs brought on by showers and thunderstorms. The trend will continue through tonight, with further reductions in flight category as stronger showers/thunderstorms move overhead. Winds will become more E'ly towards the end of this TAF cycle.
MARINE
Issued at 127 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
Gale conditions have passed while Small Craft conditions carry through into late this afternoon (for the bays) and into tonight (for the open waters). E'ly winds decrease Monday morning with an additional Small Craft Advisory possible Monday afternoon/night. 6-9 ft seas this afternoon decrease to 4-6 ft Monday morning. 3-5 ft seas can be expected through mid week. Daily rain chances (50-70%) will continue through Wednesday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 127 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
Rain chances remain elevated through the first half of the week. Cooler than normal temperatures will persist through Monday before gradually warming through the remainder of the week. With elevated RH and expected rains, the fire weather concern is not expected to be elevated through this period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
| Temperatures | Chance of precipitation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Location | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day |
| Corpus Christi | 62 ℉ | 72 ℉ | 68 ℉ | 78 ℉ | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| Victoria | 56 ℉ | 70 ℉ | 61 ℉ | 77 ℉ | 50% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| Laredo | 55 ℉ | 67 ℉ | 63 ℉ | 82 ℉ | 80% | 80% | 70% | 30% |
| Alice | 57 ℉ | 72 ℉ | 65 ℉ | 81 ℉ | 70% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Rockport | 64 ℉ | 75 ℉ | 69 ℉ | 80 ℉ | 70% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| Cotulla | 55 ℉ | 66 ℉ | 62 ℉ | 80 ℉ | 70% | 80% | 70% | 50% |
| Kingsville | 61 ℉ | 71 ℉ | 67 ℉ | 79 ℉ | 80% | 90% | 60% | 60% |
| Navy Corpus | 67 ℉ | 74 ℉ | 71 ℉ | 78 ℉ | 80% | 90% | 60% | 60% |
CRP WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for TXZ245- 247-342>347-442-443-447.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM CDT Monday for TXZ345- 442-443-447.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ231-232- 236-237.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Monday for GMZ250-255-270- 275.
DISCUSSION...AE/82 AVIATION...AE/82