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000 FXUS64 KCRP 061812 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 112 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
- Drier period from Sunday into the upcoming week with Moderate HeatRisk becoming more widespread.
- High rip current risk through Sunday and low confidence in seeing minor coastal flooding at high tide
DISCUSSION
Issued at 108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
The cutoff low continues to move to the northeast and fill, transitioning into a shortwave trough as it moves into the Great Plains. Moisture will continue to stream into the area, keeping moisture high through the profile through at least tonight. CAM guidance seems to be doing fairly well this morning, so feel fairly confident in showers and the occasional thunderstorm over the Coastal Bend and Gulf waters through the afternoon. These are going to be much like the previous days, where we see quick pop-up showers that may have heavy rainfall. Over the rest of the area, rain chances will diminish through the day with partly cloudy skies. High pressure will build into the area tonight through Sunday, limiting our rain chances to generally seabreeze convection.
Temperatures will increase through the week, nearing 100 degrees across the Brush Country by the middle of the week. Widespread heat index values will reach 105-110, which could lead to a Moderate (level 2 of 4) Heat Risk with isolated locations reaching a Major (level 3 of 4) Heat Risk.
With respect to the beach hazards, we will continue to see a high rip current risk through at least Sunday night as the persistent southeasterly wind and increased long period swell increase today. There is still low-confidence on minor coastal flooding during high tide cycles. If the water level reach the vicinity of the dunes, it will likely be short in duration. This will continue to be monitored for any advisory issuances.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
VFR conditions are expected this afternoon and evening. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads through 00Z, which could lead to MVFR ceilings and visibility. Expect MVFR ceilings to develop across the area between 05Z and 08Z, then continue into mid-morning. ALI and VCT may even get some IFR/LIFR visibility in the pre-dawn hours.
MARINE
Issued at 108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
A gentle southeasterly breeze today will increase to more moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) starting tonight. Seas near 3 ft today will increase to 4-5 ft tonight and persist into Monday night. Rain chances (20-40% chance) will be greatest across the Coastal Bend and adjacent coastal waters tonight through Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
| Temperatures | Chance of Precipitation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Location | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day | Tonight | Tomorrow | Tomorrow night | Next day |
| Corpus Christi | 79 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 80 ℉ | 89 ℉ | 0% | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Victoria | 76 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 77 ℉ | 89 ℉ | 10% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Laredo | 77 ℉ | 95 ℉ | 77 ℉ | 95 ℉ | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| Alice | 76 ℉ | 90 ℉ | 77 ℉ | 90 ℉ | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Rockport | 81 ℉ | 90 ℉ | 82 ℉ | 90 ℉ | 10% | 50% | 20% | 10% |
| Cotulla | 76 ℉ | 95 ℉ | 77 ℉ | 95 ℉ | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| Kingsville | 77 ℉ | 89 ℉ | 78 ℉ | 89 ℉ | 0% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Navy Corpus | 81 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 82 ℉ | 88 ℉ | 10% | 50% | 20% | 10% |
CRP WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447.
GM...None.
DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...LS/77