Area Forecast Discussion

KEY MESSAGES

- Next chance of rain arrives on Thursday for mainly southern Kansas

- A dry and quiet weather pattern looks to setup over the region for Friday into early next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 133 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds to prevail over the region today. Meanwhile early morning satellite water vapor imagery shows a healthy PV wave over northern Nevada moving eastward. This system will eject from the Rockies late tonight with modest lift generating rain showers over southwest Kansas. This system will continue to move east across Kansas with rain showers spreading over south central and southeast Kansas during the day on Thursday. Dry weather to follow for Friday as briefing upper level ridging influences the region.

GFS model/GEFS ensembles show a weather system deepening and ejecting southeast from the Rockies across western Kansas into Oklahoma for the weekend. Moisture will be lacking and remain well south of the region, therefore the system should move across the central plains with little to no precipitation. The dry weather pattern looks to continue into next week with a gradual warming trend expected as upper level ridging re-establishes itself over Kansas.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1108 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

MVFR CIGS will continue at SLN and CNU overnight before VFR returns at SLN near 10Z and at CNU near 16Z. Otherwise, northwesterly winds near 10 kt will prevail through much of the period.

ICT WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

None.