Area Forecast Discussion

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Letterhead and timestamp

000 FXUS63 KPAH 041110 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 510 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread showers will continue until they move out of the area this morning.

- After this morning, dry conditions will persist through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

- Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s today and Thursday before a cold front moves through Friday morning dropping highs into the low 60s and upper 50s for Friday and through the weekend. No rain is expected along this front.

UPDATE

Issued at 459 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1258 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Widespread showers are expected to continue this morning. Some gusty winds upwards of 30 mph may still be possible as these storms move through. Cloudy skies will persist through the early afternoon today and will begin to break during the late afternoon and evening. With some clearing temperatures will reach the mid to upper 60s across the region today. Skies will clear out almost completely Wednesday night allowing for another mild, sunny day Thursday.

A positively tilted trough and associated cold front is forecast for Friday morning. At this time, no rain is anticipated with the arrival of this front. Highs will cool off to the upper 50s and low 60s Friday and through the weekend before warming back up into the mid 60s to low 70s by mid next week. Low temperatures will drop as well with lows in the upper 30s Friday night and low to mid 30s Saturday and Sunday night.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 459 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Lingering showers/drizzle, fog, and low status (IFR/MVFR restrictions), will gradually shift north and east of the region through this afternoon. VFR conditions will return by early this evening. Will need to watch for the potential for fog development late tonight, but confidence is too low to include at this time. Winds will be S-SW around 8-12 kts with gusts up to 15-20 kts through the afternoon, then relaxing tonight.

PAH WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

UPDATE...DWS DISCUSSION...AZ AVIATION...DWS